Topic

Contract rules

Wording, deadlines, time zones and resolution authorities — the terms that decide payouts.

• What Is a Prediction Market?

  A prediction market is a market in contracts that pay a fixed amount if a defined event happens. The price is what people will pay for that payoff right now — useful as a probability estimate, but not a fact about the world.

  Guide · 16 August 2026

• How YES and NO Contracts Resolve

  YES and NO settle from written contract terms: the condition, deadline, time zone, resolution source, and the rules for messy edge cases.

  Guide · 16 August 2026

• How to compare two contracts on the same question

  Two venues can quote the same headline and still be selling different contracts. Check the wording, the source, and the deadline before you compare the numbers.

  Guide · 16 August 2026