The Saturday tape is a sports book, and the day's largest series has already gone to a dollar

What matters today

• The volume-ranked public book this afternoon is a Saturday sports tape

  Of 25 Gamma events ordered by volume24hr at 17:22:08 UTC, the top eight were live matches or a UFC main card. That is a ranking, not a claim about importance.

Questions to watch

Nothing worth reporting in this edition. We leave the section empty rather than fill it.

Meaningful movement

• ThunderTalk Gaming vs Anyone's Legend — match closed at $0 / $1

  Event volume24hr $3,282,234.38. Displayed ThunderTalk $0, Anyone's Legend $1 (sum $1.00). oneDayPriceChange on ThunderTalk −0.1745. Event endDate 2026-08-15T16:00:00Z, already past. Cause UNKNOWN.

• FURIA vs 9z — FURIA displayed $0.932, +27.7 cents on the day

  Event volume24hr $2,294,290.63. 9z $0.068. Sum $1.000. Last 0.932, bid 0.931, ask 0.933. Event endDate 2026-08-15T20:20:00Z.

• SK Gaming vs Fnatic — SK displayed $0.0005, −53.45 cents on the day

  Event volume24hr $1,714,010.02. Fnatic $0.9995. Sum $1.000. Market still closed:false; whether the series is finished is UNKNOWN. Event endDate 2026-08-15T21:00:00Z.

• Kecmanovic vs Cobolli — Kecmanovic displayed $0.115, −36 cents on the day

  Event volume24hr $569,002.27. Cobolli $0.885. Sum $1.000. Last/bid/ask 0.11 / 0.11 / 0.12. Event endDate 2026-08-22T14:00:00Z is the payload date, not a match-end claim.

• Fed September — no-change Yes $0.735; five Yes prices sum to $1.0015

  Event volume24hr $814,575.64. negRisk true. Each Yes/No pair displays at $1.000. oneDayPriceChange present only on no-change (−0.01) and −25 bps (+0.001). Event endDate 2026-09-16T00:00:00Z.

  ReadWhy Complementary Prices Should Add Up to About a DollarYes and No are two sides of one dollar of collateral. A sum under $1 or over $1 is a fact about complementary prices — before fees, spread, and fill risk — not a verdict that the event is wrong.

Where markets disagree

• Complementary displayed prices are near a dollar; tradeable sums are UNKNOWN

  Four taped binaries display at $1.000. Fed Yes-bundle displays at $1.0015. Bid/ask missing on at least one side of several pairs. No second venue was fetched. Kalshi was not used.

Upcoming catalysts

Nothing worth reporting in this edition. We leave the section empty rather than fill it.

Resolving soon

• FURIA vs 9z — event endDate 20:20 UTC today

  15 August 2026, 4:20 p.m. EDT. Deadline on the contract, not a resolution click.

• SK Gaming vs Fnatic — event endDate 21:00 UTC today

  15 August 2026, 5:00 p.m. EDT.

• Two dated 15 August child markets, 23:59 UTC

  Israel x Iran ceasefire through August 15 (Yes $0.9965 at 17:21:40 UTC). US announces end of Iranian blockade by August 15 (Yes $0.0065 at 17:21:30 UTC). Parent events end 31 August.

• UFC 330 — event endDate 16 August 2026, 03:59:59.999 UTC

  11:59:59 p.m. EDT tonight. Not taped as a mover (oneDayPriceChange −0.01).

One tool worth knowing

Nothing worth reporting in this edition. We leave the section empty rather than fill it.

One concept

• A move is a measurement. A cause is a claim.

  oneDayPriceChange is a Gamma field. It is not a news story. Where the field is absent, direction is UNKNOWN.